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Omar Warns BJP May Prolong J&K LG Rule After Count

Omar Abdullah says delaying government formation until statehood returns could help BJP keep Jammu and Kashmir under Lieutenant Governor rule.

TJ
Trupti Joshi
· 5 min read
Omar Warns BJP May Prolong J&K LG Rule After Count
Photo: myHQ-Workspaces · pexels

For many families in Jammu and Kashmir, Tuesday’s vote count is not just about winners and losers. It is about whether an elected government returns with real authority, or whether power stays with the Lieutenant Governor’s office.

That is why Omar Abdullah sounded unusually sharp before counting day. His warning was simple. If the BJP cannot form a government, it may prefer to stretch central rule rather than let rivals take office.

The comment came after some non-BJP leaders suggested delaying government formation until statehood returns. On paper, that sounds like pressure on Delhi. In practice, Omar argued, it could hand the BJP exactly what it wants.

Omar Abdullah targets delay calls

Omar, vice-president of the National Conference, said opposition parties should avoid tactics that keep Jammu and Kashmir under central control for longer.

His remark was aimed at Engineer Abdul Rashid, the Baramulla MP and chief of the Awami Ittehad Party. Rashid had urged non-BJP parties to unite around one demand, restoration of statehood before any new government takes charge.

Rashid’s argument was that a new elected government would have limited powers. Jammu and Kashmir is now a Union Territory, not a full state. That means the elected government does not control everything that state governments normally do.

Omar pushed back hard. He wrote on X that such a move would only help the BJP. If the party failed to form a government, he said, it would want nothing more than extended central rule through the Lieutenant Governor.

This is the heart of the fight. Should parties take office with limited powers, then push for statehood from inside government? Or should they refuse to form a government until Delhi restores full statehood?

Why statehood matters here

For voters, statehood is not a dry constitutional word. It decides where power sits.

In a full state, an elected government has wider control over administration, police, land, and local decision-making. In a Union Territory like Jammu and Kashmir, the Lieutenant Governor plays a far stronger role.

That difference matters to a shopkeeper waiting for permits, a student looking for public jobs, or a contractor dealing with local departments. It also matters to elected MLAs, who may win public votes but still find key levers outside their reach.

Jammu and Kashmir lost its statehood after the Centre revoked Article 370 in August 2019. The region was split, and Jammu and Kashmir became a Union Territory with a legislature.

The Centre has repeatedly said statehood will return at an appropriate time. But that phrase has stretched across years, and people have grown wary of open-ended promises.

That is why Rashid’s demand has political appeal. He said parties should not rush into a weak government. He also accused Congress of taking votes in Kashmir while staying silent on Article 370.

But Omar’s counter is equally practical. If elected parties delay formation, central rule continues by default. The public may then get neither statehood nor a working local government.

Alliance arithmetic before counting

The assembly election was held in three phases, and the results were due on Tuesday. Exit polls gave an edge to the NC-Congress alliance, which fought the election together.

Exit polls are not results. Every seasoned observer in India knows that. They can catch a trend, but they can also miss local shifts, turnout patterns, and small-seat arithmetic.

Still, the signals gave the National Conference and Congress reason to prepare for government talks. They also triggered speculation about outside support from the Peoples Democratic Party.

Farooq Abdullah, the National Conference president, had said the party could take PDP support if needed. Omar tried to cool that talk.

He said no such support had been offered yet. He also said nobody knew the voters’ final verdict before counting. His message was clear. Wait for the numbers before building castles in the air.

That caution makes sense. Jammu and Kashmir politics has a long history of fragile alliances, sudden turns, and deep mistrust. A careless statement before counting can become a bargaining chip by evening.

The BJP’s central-rule question

Omar’s warning also reveals how much this election is about control, not just seats.

The BJP has invested heavily in its Jammu and Kashmir narrative since 2019. It has argued that the region became more integrated, more stable, and more open to development after the constitutional changes.

Its opponents say political power shifted away from local voters. They argue that bureaucratic rule cannot replace elected accountability, however polished the official claims may sound.

If the BJP performs strongly, it can claim public approval. If it falls short, the question becomes sharper. Will Delhi quickly allow a rival-led government to take charge, even with limited powers?

Omar clearly suspects the BJP would rather keep central rule alive if it cannot command the assembly. That is a political charge, but it rests on a simple incentive. A rival government in Srinagar would challenge the Centre every day on statehood, powers, jobs, land, and security decisions.

For the BJP, that could complicate the story it wants to tell nationally. For regional parties, it could become a daily test of credibility. They would have to prove that even limited power can improve people’s lives.

Voters want power to answer

The ordinary voter has a more direct question. Who will answer when things do not move?

Under central rule, many decisions travel through official channels. That may look efficient from Delhi. But on the ground, it can feel distant, especially when people cannot vote out the person holding real authority.

An elected government changes that equation. Ministers must face the assembly, the media, party workers, and voters. They cannot always fix everything, but they cannot hide as easily.

That is why delaying government formation is a risky weapon. It may raise the statehood demand, but it may also keep voters waiting after they have already spoken.

The better fight may be inside the assembly and outside it at the same time. Form a government if the numbers allow it. Use that mandate to press Delhi for statehood. Make every limit visible to the public.

Jammu and Kashmir’s voters have done their part by turning up through a long and closely watched election. Now the burden shifts to the parties. They must decide whether to turn a verdict into government, or turn it into another waiting room.

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