Banks Could Challenge Stablecoins With Token Deposits
Bank of England's Megan Greene says stablecoin demand could weaken as banks develop tokenised deposits for faster, cheaper digital payments.
The next big fight in money may not start on Dalal Street. It may begin inside your banking app.
At a conference in Croatia, Megan Greene of the Bank of England made a sharp call. She said stablecoin demand may fade within five years, as banks push digital versions of ordinary deposits.
That sounds technical. It is not. This is about who controls digital money, who earns fees, and how cheaply people can move money across borders.
Banks may reclaim digital money
Stablecoins are crypto tokens designed to hold a steady value. Most people know them as dollar-linked coins used in crypto trading and cross-border payments.
Greene’s point was simple. Banks may not sit quietly while deposits move into private crypto products. They may build tokenised deposits instead.
A tokenised deposit is still bank money. But it moves on digital rails, much like a crypto token. For users, the promise is faster settlement and easier transfers.
For banks, the appeal is clear. They keep the customer relationship. They also keep deposits inside the formal banking system.
Greene said banks have been slow because they do not want to lose payment fees. But she argued they may act once they realise the bigger risk. If they do nothing, deposits may leave them anyway.
That is the heart of the story. The old banking system is not ignoring crypto anymore. It is trying to copy its useful parts.
Why stablecoins worry regulators
Greene did not dismiss all digital money. She said central bank digital currencies, stablecoins, and digital deposits may all exist together.
But she clearly backed tokenised deposits as the likely winner. She compared the contest to a race, with digital bank deposits as the powerful late mover.
Her concern is that stablecoins are not always as steady as their name suggests. Their value depends on what backs them, who holds those assets, and how quickly users can redeem them.
For Indian readers, think of it like a digital promise. If the promise rests on strong, liquid assets, users feel safer. If the backing looks weak, panic can spread fast.
That is why regulators care. A payment tool can become a financial risk if millions use it daily. One failure can hit confidence beyond crypto users.
Greene also raised the darker side. Some such tokens have appeared in illegal money flows. That makes regulators nervous, especially across borders.
There is another worry for central banks. If money shifts from bank deposits into private digital coins, monetary policy can lose force.
In plain English, rate cuts and hikes work through banks. If deposits leave banks, that transmission becomes weaker.
For India, this matters because the RBI watches monetary control very closely. It has already taken a cautious view of private crypto.
Fed official defends payment competition
Not everyone on the panel agreed with Greene. Christopher Waller of the US Federal Reserve took a more open view.
Waller said he sees stablecoins mainly as payment instruments. In his reading, they bring competition into payments and may reduce costs.
That argument will sound familiar in India. UPI changed payments because it made small transfers instant and cheap. Once users taste convenience, they do not easily go back.
Cross-border payments remain a pain point. A family sending money abroad, or a freelancer getting paid by a foreign client, still faces fees and delays.
Stablecoin supporters say digital tokens can solve that. Money can move faster, without the old chain of correspondent banks.
Waller also pointed to bank lobbying. He suggested banks would not fight these products so hard if they did not see a real threat.
That is a sharp observation. When incumbents call something risky, they may be right. But they may also be protecting margins.
The serious question is where regulation should draw the line. Too little oversight can invite damage. Too much can kill useful innovation.
India will watch the rails
India has a special reason to watch this debate. The country already has world-class domestic payment rails through UPI.
But international money movement still feels like a different century. It is slower, costlier, and full of checks.
That gap creates space for new systems. Stablecoins, digital bank deposits, and central bank digital currencies all want a role there.
The RBI has tested a digital rupee. But public excitement has been limited so far. People adopt payment tools when they solve a daily problem.
UPI solved small payments. Digital rupee pilots have not yet found that same mass-use moment.
Tokenised deposits may be more natural for users. They would sit closer to ordinary bank accounts. People may not need to learn crypto wallets or private keys.
For a retail investor, the lesson is basic. Do not treat every digital money product as the same thing. A bank deposit, a central bank digital currency, and a private token carry different risks.
For banks, the message is uncomfortable. If they want to stay central to payments, they must improve speed and cost.
For fintechs, the opening is still real. Users care less about labels and more about whether money reaches safely, quickly, and cheaply.
The real fight is trust
The debate is not only about technology. It is about trust.
People trust banks because deposits sit inside a regulated system. People trust central banks because they issue sovereign money. Crypto users trust code and market liquidity.
Each model has strengths. Each has weak spots.
Greene is betting that banks will eventually move with force. Once they see deposits at risk, they will invest seriously in tokenised products.
Waller is betting that competition itself has value. If private players make payments cheaper, regulators should not block them too early.
Both views can be true. The next phase may not produce one winner. It may produce layers of money, each used for different purposes.
A salaried Indian may still keep money in a bank account. A company may use tokenised deposits for settlement. A global trader may still prefer dollar-linked tokens.
The question is which system becomes boring enough to trust. In finance, boring is not an insult. It is often the highest compliment.
For ordinary Indians, the coming change may not arrive with fanfare. It may show up as lower remittance costs, faster overseas payments, or new bank app features. The real test will be simple: does digital money make life easier without making savings feel less safe?