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Snowflake Outlook Lift and Amazon Pact Spark Rally

Snowflake shares jumped after stronger product revenue, a higher full-year outlook and an Amazon deal reset investor expectations for AI data demand.

NS
Neha Sharma
· 4 min read
Snowflake Outlook Lift and Amazon Pact Spark Rally
Photo: Brett Sayles · pexels

For anyone holding Snowflake through six ugly months, Thursday felt like oxygen.

The stock jumped 38 percent on 28 May, from $175.26 to an intraday high of $240. In plain terms, a $10,000 holding would have gained about $3,800 in a day, before taxes and currency moves.

That sort of move does not happen because one quarterly number looks neat. It happens when investors suddenly decide the story has changed.

Snowflake gets its AI moment

Snowflake sits in the less glamorous but vital part of the tech economy. It helps companies store, manage, and analyse huge piles of data.

That matters because artificial intelligence is only as useful as the data behind it. If a bank, retailer, or hospital cannot trust its data, AI becomes a fancy toy.

The company reported product revenue of $1.33 billion for the quarter ended 30 April. That was up 34 percent from a year earlier and ahead of Wall Street expectations of about $1.27 billion.

Product revenue is the heart of Snowflake’s business. It makes up nearly 95 percent of total revenue, so investors watch it closely.

Snowflake also lifted its full-year product revenue forecast to $5.84 billion. Its earlier forecast stood at $5.66 billion. Analysts had expected around $5.68 billion.

That guidance raise told the market something simple. Customers are still spending on data platforms, even as tech budgets face tighter checks.

The Amazon deal changed the mood

The bigger spark came from Amazon Web Services, better known as AWS.

Snowflake announced a fresh $6 billion commitment to AWS over five years. The deal covers cloud infrastructure and Amazon’s Graviton chips, which compete with processors from companies such as Intel.

For Indian readers, think of it like a large business locking in a long-term power supply deal. The goal is not just capacity. It is also better pricing and more control over future costs.

Snowflake said the agreement will support rising demand for AI and data workloads on AWS. CEO Sridhar Ramaswamy said the partnership would help companies bring AI closer to governed data.

That phrase sounds technical, but the idea is easy. Large companies do not want AI tools touching messy or unsafe data. They want control, audit trails, and speed at the same time.

The AWS deal also helps Snowflake defend margins. In software, margins matter because investors pay high valuations only when growth does not eat up profits.

Snowflake raised its non-GAAP operating margin outlook to 13.5 percent. Non-GAAP means the company excludes some accounting costs, such as stock-based compensation. Investors use it to judge operating performance, though they should not treat it as the full picture.

Why the stock exploded

The rally took Snowflake to a four-month high. The share opened at $237, far above the previous close, and touched $240 during the session.

If the gain held till closing, it would mark the stock’s biggest single-day jump in five years.

The move also stretched Snowflake’s May gain to 76 percent. That is a wild recovery after the stock had fallen for six straight months.

During that weak patch, Snowflake lost nearly half its value. From its yearly low of $118.30, the stock has now more than doubled at Thursday’s intraday high.

This is where retail investors need to pause. A 103 percent rebound from the low looks thrilling. It also means expectations have risen very fast.

The market is no longer asking whether Snowflake can grow. It is asking whether AI can make that growth last longer, and at better margins.

That is a tougher test.

What Indian investors should read

Many Indian investors now own US stocks directly or through mutual funds with global exposure. For them, Snowflake’s rally carries two lessons.

First, AI is spreading beyond chipmakers. Nvidia grabbed the early headlines, but the next phase may reward firms that manage data, cloud usage, and enterprise software.

Second, the market is still unforgiving. Snowflake’s bookings metric, called remaining performance obligations, came in at $9.21 billion. Analysts had expected about $9.43 billion.

Remaining performance obligations show contracted future revenue. It is like an order book for software companies. A small miss here tells investors not every number was perfect.

Yet the stock still surged because investors cared more about guidance and the AWS commitment.

That is classic bull-market behaviour in a hot theme. The market forgives one soft spot if the larger story looks stronger.

For Indian households, the direct impact may feel distant. But the indirect impact is real.

If global tech stocks keep rising, Indian IT and SaaS names may get a sentiment lift. If AI spending stays strong, companies serving global clients could see better demand.

But there is another side. High cloud and AI spending also means the biggest platforms keep getting stronger. Smaller firms may struggle unless they own a clear niche.

Snowflake’s rally shows how quickly money moves when investors see a credible AI path. It also shows how expensive patience can feel before the turnaround arrives.

The next few quarters will decide whether this was a one-day burst or the start of a sturdier recovery. For ordinary investors, the wiser question is not “what did the stock do today?” It is whether the company can turn AI excitement into steady cash, year after year.

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